Monday, February 23, 2015

$1 Million Won’t Make You Rich In Retirement

I get some good news and some bad news. First the good news: If you are young and committed to saving for retirement, chances are good that you will retire with $1 million or more in retirement savings. Now the bad news: that won’t make you rich.

This matters. If you are saving enough to accumulate $1 million in your retirement expecting that it will make you prosperous, you will be sorely disappointed to learn in thirty years that it may only be enough for you to make a living.

Inflation: much of the returns, the nominal returns you see on your financial statements, will be eroded by inflation. Your real returns—returns adjusted for inflation—will be much smaller. Assuming just 3 percent inflation, the $1 million you have in your account in thirty years will likely spend much more like having $411,000 today. Not bad, right? But it isn’t enough to make you rich by American standards.

Social Security: It is fairly clear from recent discussions in Washington that social security will not go away as many have claimed. That said, complex formulas used to measure and adjust social security for inflation are likely to change, resulting in smaller benefits. You will likely have to be expected that you are seventy to get the benefits as well. Thirty years from now if collective security has been lagging real inflation, it could easily be providing only 75 percent of the economic value to retire seniors then as now. That means, you’ll need to go more of your income from your savings and investments than current retirees to enjoy the same retirement.

Save: As you can see, if you want to have a comfortable—or better—retirement, you need to be consistently contributing to your retirement savings. You can be doing this through your employer through a 401k or by opening an IRA. The advantage of a 401k is that the contribution to your savings happens before you see the cash and are only trying to spend it. Both IRAs and 401ks offer tax benefits that make them much better vehicles for retirement savings than regular accounts.

Investment: Once you have money in your savings account, you need to invest wisely, taking neither too much nor too little risk. Some are only trying to protect their savings by keeping it in the bank where it is FDIC insured and can never go down in value. That also guarantees that your investments won’t grow as fast as inflation. Every dollar invested that way will be worth less—even with interest—than it was when you put it in the bank. Investing wildly in stocks, options and other exotic instruments can be equally destructive. Individual investors often fail to match market returns when running their own investments. You can hire professionals to administer money affordable by using mutual funds and ETFs (exchange traded funds).

If you start your retirement savings with the right understanding of the impacts of the decades that will pass between now and your retirement, you are most likely to invest well in the future and have a safe and comfortable retirement.



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